London Wins Olympic Bid

Prof. Adrian Patrut suggested that analysis of the London bombings should be complemented by attention to the previous day, when Londoners were ecstatic about the successful bid to host the 2012 Olympic games. He writes:

The results of the London Bombings of July 7 approached our expectations. I believe, however, that one should also analyze the data collected on July 6, when entire London celebrated its big win of the vote to stage the 2012 Summer Olympic Games. Thus, in a somewhat unexpected way, London dropped from ecstasy to agony in less than 24 hours.and see again the mimosa-type syndrome.

Here is the report of the event of July 6, 2005:


On July 6, London won the vote to host the 2012 Summer Olympic Games after the most bitterly fought battle in the Olympic history. In the fourth ballot vote, London defeated the big favorite Paris by 54 to 50. Jacques Rogge, the President of the International Olympic Committee announced this outcome in Singapore at 11:45 UTC (12:45 London time), at a globally televised ceremony, which started two hours earlier, at 9:45 UTC (10:45 London time).

Tens of thousands of London citizens assisted tensely the voting process via a huge screen placed on Piccadilly Square and exclaimed in hurrah when the announcement was made. Even Prime Minister Tony Blair, who at the time attended the G8 summit, had an immediate statement wired on TV, welcoming London's great victory.

The entire city of London celebrated the event until late night.

I believe that one should analyze the results of July 6, between 10:45 - 16:45 London time (corresponding to 9:45 - 15:45 UTC) and also between 10:45 - 24:00 London time (corresponding to 9:45 - 23:00 UTC); thus, one would cover the time span prior to the period analyzed for the events of July 7.

After only 20 hours from this important success, a series of 4 bomb attacks across the City, turned London from 'ecstasy to agony'

This succession of events that occurred in the same restrained geographical area in less than 24 hours offer a very good (but also a very sad) opportunity to verify the so-called 'mimosa-type' syndrome.

The following figures show the GCP standard analysis for these times on June 6, as cumulative deviations of the squared Stouffer Z from expectation. There is a marginally significant positive trend during the televized ceremony during the hours preceding the announcement, but it falls off about the time of the announcement, and thereafter the data look like a more or less random walk.

London Wins Olympic Bid

London Wins Olympic Bid

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