First Avatar, March 24 2009

The first of five avatars expected to lead humanity in a transition to the humane was birthed on March 24 2009 in England. This graph shows the way the GCP data looked on that day.

First Avatar,
March 24 2009

It is important to keep in mind that we have only a tiny statistical effect, so that it is always hard to distinguish signal from noise. This means that every "success" might be largely driven by chance, and every "null" might include a real signal overwhelmed by noise. In the long run, a real effect can be identified only by patiently accumulating replications of similar analyses.

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